· Analysis updated 21:43 UTC
Cercle Mbéri vs Oyem AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Cercle Mbéri and 1.40 for Oyem AC, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Oyem AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.1% probability
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.40
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cercle Mbéri home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Oyem AC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Oyem AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 33% / 26% / 41% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Cercle Mbéri and 1.40 for Oyem AC, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
59%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.4%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.7%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Cercle Mbéri
- 2026-07-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Lozo · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Ogooue FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Bouenguidi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Pélican · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-14T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Bitam · 1-1 (D)
Oyem AC
- 2026-07-04T14:30:00.000Z · A vs US Oyem · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lozo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-27T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ogooue FC · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Bouenguidi · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Pélican · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.