Czech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · ČFL A - 2408:30

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Saturday, 18 April 2026

SCM Sloziste · Analysis updated 18:18 UTC

České Budějovice II vs Kladno Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for České Budějovice II and 1.56 for Kladno, a combined total of 4.07. That distribution gives České Budějovice II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

České Budějovice II win

58.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.51 – 1.56

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • České Budějovice II home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Kladno away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates České Budějovice II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 58% / 19% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.51 goals for České Budějovice II and 1.56 for Kladno, a combined 4.07 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

České Budějovice II win58%
Draw19%
Kladno win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams to score73%

Correct score

  • 2–18.4%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 3–25.5%

Recent form

České Budějovice II

  • 2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko II · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 6-3 (W)
  • 2026-05-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 6-2 (W)

Kladno

  • 2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-23T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-20T11:15:00.000Z · H vs Příbram · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Karviná · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1České Budějovice128222126
2Králův Dvůr118211326
3Viktoria Plzeň II117221123
4Motorlet Praha12723923
5Jiskra Domažlice12633221
6Loko Vltavín12534-218
7Sparta Praha II94411116
8Slavia III12426114
9Admira Praha12426-414
10Příbram II11344-113
11Bohemians 1905 II12345-513
12Dukla Praha II12255-311
13Písek11254-711
14Benešov11245-810
15Aritma Praha12165-179
16Povltava FA120210-212

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is České Budějovice II win, at 58.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 73% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.