České Budějovice II vs Sokol Hostouň Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for České Budějovice II and 2.02 for Sokol Hostouň, a combined total of 4.02. That distribution gives Sokol Hostouň the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 77% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

60.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 2.02

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

České Budějovice II home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sokol Hostouň away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sokol Hostouň to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 39% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for České Budějovice II and 2.02 for Sokol Hostouň, a combined 4.02 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

České Budějovice II win39%

Draw21%

Sokol Hostouň win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals77%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score75%

Correct score

1–27.3%
2–27.3%
1–17.2%
2–17.2%
1–34.9%

Recent form

České Budějovice II

2026-06-04T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Příbram II · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Aritma Praha · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-24T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Táborsko II · 5-2 (W)
2026-05-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Admira Praha · 6-3 (W)
2026-05-16T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Králův Dvůr · 6-2 (W)

Sokol Hostouň

2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Rapid Psáry · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-25T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Velvary · 5-1 (W)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Újezd Praha 4 · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Brandýs nad Labem · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - CFL A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	České Budějovice	12	8	2	2	21	26
2	Králův Dvůr	11	8	2	1	13	26
3	Viktoria Plzeň II	11	7	2	2	11	23
4	Motorlet Praha	12	7	2	3	9	23
5	Jiskra Domažlice	12	6	3	3	2	21
6	Loko Vltavín	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Sparta Praha II	10	4	4	2	10	16
8	Slavia III	12	4	2	6	1	14
9	Admira Praha	12	4	2	6	-4	14
10	Písek	12	3	5	4	-6	14
11	Příbram II	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Bohemians 1905 II	12	3	4	5	-5	13
13	Dukla Praha II	12	2	5	5	-3	11
14	Benešov	11	2	4	5	-8	10
15	Aritma Praha	12	1	6	5	-17	9
16	Povltava FA	12	0	2	10	-21	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 60.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 77%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.