· Analysis updated 08:47 UTC
České Budějovice U19 vs Karviná U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.71 expected goals for České Budějovice U19 and 1.22 for Karviná U19, a combined total of 4.93. That distribution gives České Budějovice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
České Budějovice U19 win
81.7% probability
Expected goals
3.71 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Most likely outcome
The model rates České Budějovice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 10% / 8% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.71 goals for České Budějovice U19 and 1.22 for Karviná U19, a combined 4.93 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 68%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Model confidence
The headline pick is rated 82% with high confidence, from a data-quality score of 42/100 while season data is still limited.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
18%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.5%
- 4–17.0%
- 3–06.2%
- 2–16.1%
- 4–05.7%
Recent form
České Budějovice U19
Karviná U19
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. Liga U19 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opava U19 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 28 |
| 2 | Hradec Králové U19 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Baník Ostrava U19 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 |
| 4 | Sigma Olomouc U19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Dukla Praha U19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Mladá Boleslav U19 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Viktoria Plzeň U19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 |
| 9 | Teplice U19 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | České Budějovice U19 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 |
| 11 | Zbrojovka Brno U19 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Slovácko U19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Pardubice U19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -15 | 8 |
| 14 | Zlín U19 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Slavia Praha U19 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | Karviná U19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -24 | 7 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is České Budějovice U19 win, at 81.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 86%.
A 82% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.