Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 109:00

0 – 2

Saturday, 8 August 2026

· Analysis updated 02:44 UTC

České Budějovice U19 vs Mladá Boleslav U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for České Budějovice U19 and 1.87 for Mladá Boleslav U19, a combined total of 4.22. That distribution gives České Budějovice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

České Budějovice U19 win

49.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Mladá Boleslav U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates České Budějovice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 20% / 31% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.35 goals for České Budějovice U19 and 1.87 for Mladá Boleslav U19, a combined 4.22 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 79% and both teams to score at 76%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

České Budějovice U19 win49%
Draw20%
Mladá Boleslav U19 win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score76%

Correct score

  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–16.5%
  • 1–26.0%
  • 3–16.0%

Recent form

České Budějovice U19

    Mladá Boleslav U19

    • 2026-10-24T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-10-17T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-10-09T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-10-03T10:45:00.000Z · H vs Opava U19 · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha U19 · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Opava U19129121828
    2Hradec Králové U19137421825
    3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
    4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
    5Dukla Praha U1912633721
    6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
    7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
    8Sparta Praha U1911515416
    9Teplice U1911515-616
    10České Budějovice U1911425714
    11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
    12Slovácko U1912318-1210
    13Pardubice U1912228-158
    14Zlín U1911227-178
    15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
    16Karviná U1912219-247

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is České Budějovice U19 win, at 49.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

    A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.