Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 2109:00

1 – 1

Saturday, 11 April 2026

· Analysis updated 07:10 UTC

České Budějovice U19 vs Slovan Liberec U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for České Budějovice U19 and 1.73 for Slovan Liberec U19, a combined total of 4.23. That distribution gives České Budějovice U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

České Budějovice U19 win

54.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.73

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Slovan Liberec U19 away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates České Budějovice U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 19% / 26% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.50 goals for České Budějovice U19 and 1.73 for Slovan Liberec U19, a combined 4.23 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 79% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Match result (1X2)

České Budějovice U19 win55%
Draw19%
Slovan Liberec U19 win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 3–16.6%
  • 1–16.3%
  • 3–25.7%

Recent form

České Budějovice U19

    Slovan Liberec U19

    • 2026-06-13T10:15:00.000Z · H vs Dukla Praha U19 · 2-3 (L)
    • 2026-06-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Hradec Králové U19 · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-30T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Mladá Boleslav U19 · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-05-23T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-05-16T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava U19 · 6-1 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Opava U19129121828
    2Hradec Králové U19137421825
    3Baník Ostrava U1910802524
    4Sigma Olomouc U19117131022
    5Dukla Praha U1912633721
    6Mladá Boleslav U1912624520
    7Viktoria Plzeň U1996121619
    8Sparta Praha U1911515416
    9Teplice U1911515-616
    10České Budějovice U1911425714
    11Zbrojovka Brno U1912426-514
    12Slovácko U1912318-1210
    13Pardubice U1912228-158
    14Zlín U1911227-178
    15Slavia Praha U1911146-117
    16Karviná U1912219-247

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is České Budějovice U19 win, at 54.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 79%.

    A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.