Czech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · Matchweek 3009:00

1 – 2

Friday, 12 June 2026

· Analysis updated 20:19 UTC

České Budějovice U19 vs Viktoria Plzeň U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.98 expected goals for České Budějovice U19 and 2.65 for Viktoria Plzeň U19, a combined total of 4.62. That distribution gives Viktoria Plzeň U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Viktoria Plzeň U19 win

52.7% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.98 – 2.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Viktoria Plzeň U19 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Viktoria Plzeň U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 29% / 18% / 53% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.98 goals for České Budějovice U19 and 2.65 for Viktoria Plzeň U19, a combined 4.62 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 80%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Match result (1X2)

České Budějovice U19 win29%
Draw18%
Viktoria Plzeň U19 win53%

Double chance 1X

47%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals84%
Over 3.5 goals68%
Both teams to score80%

Correct score

  • 1–26.8%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–36.0%
  • 2–35.9%
  • 1–15.1%

Recent form

České Budějovice U19

    Viktoria Plzeň U19

    • 2026-09-12T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Pardubice U19 · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-09-05T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Hradec Králové U19 · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-08-29T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sigma Olomouc U19 · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-22T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavia Praha U19 · 5-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-15T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno U19 · 6-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    1. Liga U19 table

    Full league page →

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Viktoria Plzeň U19 win, at 52.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

    It puts both teams scoring at 80% and over 2.5 goals at 84%.

    A 53% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.