České Budějovice vs Chrudim Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.32 expected goals for České Budějovice and 1.33 for Chrudim, a combined total of 3.65. That distribution gives České Budějovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

České Budějovice win

59.5% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

2.32 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

České Budějovice home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Chrudim away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates České Budějovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 19% / 21% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.32 goals for České Budějovice and 1.33 for Chrudim, a combined 3.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

České Budějovice win60%

Draw19%

Chrudim win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals50%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

2–19.3%
1–18.0%
3–17.2%
2–07.0%
2–26.2%

Recent form

České Budějovice

2026-10-24T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Králův Dvůr · 3-3 (D)
2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Loko Vltavín · 2-1 (W)
2026-10-10T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Povltava FA · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Benešov · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Jiskra Domažlice · 3-6 (L)

Chrudim

2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Pardubice II · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice II · 1-4 (L)
2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Čáslav · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokol Brozany · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-29T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Baník Souš · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

FNL table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Karviná	11	8	0	3	11	24
2	Vysočina Jihlava	11	6	2	3	7	20
3	Dukla Praha	11	6	2	3	3	20
4	Ústí nad Labem	11	5	4	2	6	19
5	Vlašim	11	5	3	3	6	18
6	Příbram	11	4	5	2	2	17
7	Baník Ostrava II	11	4	2	5	3	14
8	Táborsko	11	3	5	3	0	14
9	Viktoria Žižkov	11	4	2	5	-7	14
10	Slavia Praha II	11	3	4	4	1	13
11	Kladno	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Opava	11	3	4	4	-3	13
13	Arsenal Česká Lípa	11	3	3	5	-6	12
14	Prostějov	11	1	7	3	-1	10
15	Třinec	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Hanácká	11	1	3	7	-14	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is České Budějovice win, at 59.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.