Cesky Tesin vs Stonava Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.96 expected goals for Cesky Tesin and 2.16 for Stonava, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Stonava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.

Model pick

Stonava to Win

64.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.96 – 2.16

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Cesky Tesin win16%

Draw20%

Stonava win65%

Double chance 1X

35%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

84%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals38%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

0–210.4%
1–29.9%
0–19.6%
1–19.2%
0–37.4%

Why the model likes this

Stonava away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stonava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 16% / 20% / 65% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.96 goals for Cesky Tesin and 2.16 for Stonava, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 54%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Cesky Tesin

Stonava

2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kravare · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Nový Jičín · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Polanka nad Odrou · 1-1 (D)
2026-06-12T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Havířov · 4-2 (W)
2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Petřvald na Moravě · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie F table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Havířov	29	19	2	8	38	59
2	Vratimov	29	17	3	9	15	54
3	Bospor Bohumín	29	15	8	6	28	53
4	Bílovec	29	15	8	6	14	53
5	Stonava	29	14	6	9	10	48
6	Valašské Meziříčí	29	11	8	10	-4	41
7	Zabreh	30	9	12	9	3	39
8	Šumperk	29	9	12	8	-2	39
9	Opava II	30	11	5	14	-3	38
10	Frýdlant	30	9	11	10	-9	38
11	Jiskra Rýmařov	30	11	4	15	-13	37
12	Petřvald na Moravě	29	9	9	11	3	36
13	Nový Jičín	29	8	12	9	-5	36
14	Břidličná	30	7	10	13	-12	31
15	Pustá Polom	29	5	9	15	-23	24
16	Cesky Tesin	29	2	7	20	-41	13

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.