Areni Stadium · Analysis updated 04:31 UTC
Cetatea Suceava vs Popești-Leordeni Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.62 expected goals for Cetatea Suceava and 1.20 for Popești-Leordeni, a combined total of 2.82. That distribution gives Cetatea Suceava the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Cetatea Suceava to Win
47.1% probability
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.2%
Why the model likes this
Cetatea Suceava home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cetatea Suceava to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 47% / 25% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.62 goals for Cetatea Suceava and 1.20 for Popești-Leordeni, a combined 2.82 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Cetatea Suceava
- 2026-08-15T08:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T14:30:00.000Z · A vs USV Iaşi · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-08T08:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Targu Mures · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Concordia · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-05-23T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Sepsi II · 4-0 (W)
Popești-Leordeni
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Concordia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Metalul Buzău | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Chindia Targoviste | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Gloria Bistriţa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Cetatea Suceava | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Popești-Leordeni | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Metaloglobus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Bacau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | CS Afumati | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Ştefăneşti | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Dumbrăviţa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Bihor Oradea | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | ASA Targu Mures | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Unirea Slobozia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 21 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | CS Dinamo București | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.