Saputo Stadium · Referee R. Mendoza · Analysis updated 18:34 UTC
CF Montreal vs DC United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for CF Montreal and 1.48 for DC United, a combined total of 2.83. That distribution gives DC United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
60%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
65%
Model pick
DC United or Draw
65.4% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.0%
- 2–18.0%
Why the model likes this
Odds comparison
Indicative prices for the main markets.
| Market | Selection | Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result | Home | 2.22 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Draw | 3.60 | 10Bet |
| Match Result | Away | 2.92 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 1.22 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 1.5 | 4.20 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | 1.70 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 2.5 | 2.10 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 3.5 | 2.80 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 3.5 | 1.42 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 0.5 | 1.04 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 0.5 | 10.00 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Over 4.5 | 5.25 | 10Bet |
| Goals | Under 4.5 | 1.15 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | Yes | 1.57 | 10Bet |
| BTTS | No | 2.25 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Draw | 1.38 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Home/Away | 1.22 | 10Bet |
| Double Chance | Draw/Away | 1.62 | 10Bet |
Recent form
CF Montreal
DC United
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 34 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 32 |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 24 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 24 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 22 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | San Diego | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21 |
| 14 | Austin | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -28 | 14 |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -10 | 25 |
| 9 | DC United | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | -3 | 23 |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 20 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -8 | 16 |
| 14 | CF Montreal | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -11 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -14 | 12 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.