Romania · Liga I · Matchweek 1317:00

2 – 2

Sunday, 25 October 2026

Dr. Constantin Rădulescu · Referee Florin Andrei · Analysis updated 23:50 UTC

CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.28 for Dinamo Bucuresti, a combined total of 2.65. That distribution gives CFR 1907 Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

65.4% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.28

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CFR 1907 Cluj home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Dinamo Bucuresti away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CFR 1907 Cluj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 39%, against 39% / 26% / 35% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.28 for Dinamo Bucuresti, a combined 2.65 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

CFR 1907 Cluj win39%
Draw26%
Dinamo Bucuresti win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

61%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 1–27.9%

Recent form

CFR 1907 Cluj

  • 2026-10-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-08T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs CSM Satu Mare · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-3 (L)

Dinamo Bucuresti

  • 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FCSB · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Lieşti · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Corvinul Hunedoara · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti139312030
2Rapid13832827
3Universitatea Craiova128221826
4Petrolul Ploiesti13724123
5Universitatea Cluj13715522
6FCSB13634121
7Farul Constanta13553120
8Uta Arad13535-118
9CFR 1907 Cluj13526-117
10Corvinul Hunedoara13445-216
11FC Botosani13355014
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12354-514
13Arges Pitesti13337-612
14Oţelul13256-611
15FC Voluntari13229-168
16Csikszereda131210-175

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.