· Analysis updated 14:21 UTC
CFR Pforzheim vs FC 08 Villingen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for CFR Pforzheim and 2.45 for FC 08 Villingen, a combined total of 4.10. That distribution gives FC 08 Villingen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
FC 08 Villingen win
55.4% probability
Expected goals
1.65 – 2.45
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
CFR Pforzheim home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC 08 Villingen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
75%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–28.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–36.7%
- 1–16.7%
- 2–35.5%
Recent form
CFR Pforzheim
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · H vs FC 08 Villingen · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Nöttingen · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Teningen · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-07T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Young Boys Reutlingen · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs 1. FC Muhlhausen · 2-0 (W)
FC 08 Villingen
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs CFR Pforzheim · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FV Ravensburg · 0-5 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Türkspor Neckarsulm · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Essingen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Young Boys Reutlingen · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-10-24T12:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 0-2 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2026-02-28T13:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 2-2 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2025-08-23T12:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 1-1 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2024-06-01T13:30:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 2-3 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2023-11-11T13:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 2-2 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2023-04-22T14:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 2-1 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2022-09-30T17:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 1-0 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2022-05-14T13:30:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 0-2 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
- 2021-11-24T18:00:00.000Z · CFR Pforzheim 1-4 FC 08 Villingen (Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg)
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oberachern | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Backnang | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | FC 08 Villingen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | Reutlingen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Bahlinger SC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Young Boys Reutlingen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 22 |
| 7 | FV Ravensburg | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 8 | Karlsruhe II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | 1. FC Muhlhausen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | CFR Pforzheim | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Holzhausen | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Essingen | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | TSV Singen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Balingen | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Teningen | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | FC Nöttingen | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
| 17 | Türkspor Neckarsulm | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -22 | 9 |
| 18 | Normannia Gmünd | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -23 | 6 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is FC 08 Villingen win, at 55.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.