Cham vs Bulle Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Cham and 1.30 for Bulle, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Cham the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Cham win

45.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.30

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Cham home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Bulle away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Cham win46%

Draw24%

Bulle win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

54%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.2%
2–19.3%
1–08.6%
1–27.3%
2–07.1%

Recent form

Cham

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bulle · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Lugano II · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Brühl · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs YF Juventus · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Zürich II · 4-0 (W)

Bulle

2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Schaffhausen · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Basel II · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Amical Saint-Prex · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bavois · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Biel-Bienne · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · Cham 4-2 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Cham 4-1 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2025-03-29T15:00:00.000Z · Cham 1-1 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2024-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · Cham 0-0 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2023-11-25T14:00:00.000Z · Cham 2-3 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2023-08-05T14:00:00.000Z · Cham 3-1 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2023-05-13T17:30:00.000Z · Cham 4-2 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)
2022-11-05T15:00:00.000Z · Cham 2-1 Bulle (1. Liga Promotion)

1. Liga Promotion table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Biel-Bienne	11	8	2	1	13	26
2	FC Schaffhausen	11	8	1	2	16	25
3	Cham	11	7	1	3	5	22
4	Bulle	11	6	3	2	8	21
5	Paradiso	11	6	2	3	11	20
6	YF Juventus	11	6	1	4	2	19
7	Grand-Saconnex	11	6	0	5	4	18
8	Basel II	11	5	1	5	0	16
9	Amical Saint-Prex	11	5	1	5	-6	16
10	Kreuzlingen	11	4	3	4	1	15
11	Zürich II	11	4	3	4	0	15
12	Breitenrain	11	4	3	4	-2	15
13	Brühl	11	4	2	5	-2	14
14	Young Boys II	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Lugano II	11	3	0	8	-8	9
16	Bavois	11	2	2	7	-4	8
17	Luzern II	11	2	1	8	-12	7
18	Bellinzona	11	1	2	8	-17	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Cham win, at 45.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 46% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.