· Analysis updated 01:50 UTC
Chambly Thelle FC vs Chantilly Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.03 expected goals for Chambly Thelle FC and 0.95 for Chantilly, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives Chambly Thelle FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Chambly Thelle FC win
78.7% probability
Expected goals
3.03 – 0.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Chambly Thelle FC home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Chantilly away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
87%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–08.7%
- 2–08.6%
- 3–18.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 4–06.6%
Recent form
Chambly Thelle FC
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Colmar · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St Maur Lusitanos · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bastia-Borgo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Colombes 92 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haguenau · 1-0 (W)
Chantilly
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Biesheim · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Furiani-Agliani · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Epinal · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Haguenau · 1-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-02-14T14:00:00.000Z · Chambly Thelle FC 0-0 Chantilly (National 2 - Group B)
- 2025-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · Chambly Thelle FC 1-3 Chantilly (National 2 - Group B)
- 2025-05-03T16:00:00.000Z · Chambly Thelle FC 3-1 Chantilly (National 2 - Group C)
- 2024-12-20T19:00:00.000Z · Chambly Thelle FC 2-1 Chantilly (National 2 - Group C)
- 2013-12-07T13:00:00.000Z · Chambly Thelle FC 2-1 Chantilly (Coupe de France)
National 2 - Group A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Maur Lusitanos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Chambly Thelle FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Creteil | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Colombes 92 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Furiani-Agliani | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Feignies-Aulnoye | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Biesheim | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Dieppe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Pays du Valois | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Haguenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Montlouis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Epinal | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Colmar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chantilly | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Chambly Thelle FC win, at 78.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.