· Analysis updated 21:22 UTC
Chambly Thelle FC vs Colmar Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.16 expected goals for Chambly Thelle FC and 0.70 for Colmar, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Chambly Thelle FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Chambly Thelle FC win
71.1% probability
Expected goals
2.16 – 0.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Chambly Thelle FC home form
12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Colmar away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chambly Thelle FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 18% / 11% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.16 goals for Chambly Thelle FC and 0.70 for Colmar, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–013.4%
- 1–012.4%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.7%
Recent form
Chambly Thelle FC
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Colmar · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St Maur Lusitanos · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Bastia-Borgo · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Colombes 92 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haguenau · 1-0 (W)
Colmar
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chambly Thelle FC · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Pays du Valois · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Biesheim · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 0-1 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National 2 - Group A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Maur Lusitanos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Chambly Thelle FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Creteil | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Colombes 92 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Furiani-Agliani | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Feignies-Aulnoye | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Biesheim | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Dieppe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Pays du Valois | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Haguenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Montlouis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Epinal | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Colmar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chantilly | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Chambly Thelle FC win, at 71.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.