Laos · Lao League · Matchweek 108:30

3 – 0

Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Analysis updated 07:52 UTC

Champasak United vs Master 7 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.73 expected goals for Champasak United and 1.04 for Master 7, a combined total of 3.77. That distribution gives Champasak United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Champasak United win

72.8% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.73 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Champasak United home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Champasak United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 15% / 12% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.73 goals for Champasak United and 1.04 for Master 7, a combined 3.77 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 60%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Match result (1X2)

Champasak United win73%
Draw15%
Master 7 win12%

Double chance 1X

88%

Double chance 12

85%

Double chance X2

27%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 2–18.9%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 3–07.8%
  • 1–16.6%

Recent form

Champasak United

  • 2026-10-25T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Luangprabang FC · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-18T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Viengchanh · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Master 7 · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-03-14T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Lao Army · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-03-08T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Savannakhet · 7-0 (W)

Master 7

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Lao League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Ezra3300129
    2Salavan United330079
    3Viengchanh321057
    4Savannakhet321037
    5Luangprabang FC320176
    6Champasak United310203
    7Namtha United3102-33
    8Lao Army3003-50
    9Lao Toyota2002-60
    10Master 72002-100
    11Oudomxay Entremets2002-100

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Champasak United win, at 72.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.

    A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.