· Analysis updated 15:25 UTC
Chantilly vs Biesheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Chantilly and 2.13 for Biesheim, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives Biesheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Biesheim win
60.8% probability
Expected goals
1.10 – 2.13
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Chantilly home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Biesheim away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Biesheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 19% / 20% / 61% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Chantilly and 2.13 for Biesheim, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
39%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
81%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–29.0%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–37.0%
Recent form
Chantilly
- 2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Biesheim · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Furiani-Agliani · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Epinal · 1-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Haguenau · 1-3 (L)
Biesheim
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Montlouis · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dieppe · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Feignies-Aulnoye · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Colmar · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs St Maur Lusitanos · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
National 2 - Group A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Maur Lusitanos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Chambly Thelle FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Creteil | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Racing Colombes 92 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Furiani-Agliani | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Feignies-Aulnoye | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Biesheim | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 8 | Dieppe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Le Pays du Valois | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Bastia-Borgo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Haguenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Montlouis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Epinal | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Colmar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | St-Pryvé St-Hilaire | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Chantilly | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Biesheim win, at 60.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.