Chênois vs Sion II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.47 expected goals for Chênois and 1.88 for Sion II, a combined total of 3.35. That distribution gives Sion II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 65% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Sion II win

47.1% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.88

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Chênois home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sion II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Chênois win31%

Draw22%

Sion II win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals65%

Over 3.5 goals43%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

1–19.7%
1–29.1%
2–17.2%
2–26.7%
0–16.6%

Recent form

Chênois

2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lancy · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina Bern · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Azzurri · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Meyrin · 3-1 (W)

Sion II

2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Coffrane · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Stade Payerne · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Chênois · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Servette II · 0-0 (D)
2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vevey Sports · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-19T15:30:00.000Z · Chênois 2-0 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2026-03-22T15:00:00.000Z · Chênois 1-6 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2025-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · Chênois 1-2 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2025-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · Chênois 2-1 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2024-11-09T16:00:00.000Z · Chênois 1-0 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2024-03-02T18:15:00.000Z · Chênois 1-1 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2023-08-19T17:00:00.000Z · Chênois 4-1 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2023-04-15T15:30:00.000Z · Chênois 0-3 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2022-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · Chênois 0-5 Sion II (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azzurri	10	8	0	2	15	24
2	Prishtina Bern	10	7	2	1	18	23
3	Servette II	10	5	4	1	2	19
4	Lausanne Sport II	10	4	5	1	8	17
5	Sion II	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Portalban / Gletterens	10	4	2	4	5	14
7	Monthey	10	3	5	2	2	14
8	Naters	10	4	2	4	-7	14
9	Lancy	10	4	1	5	-1	13
10	Chênois	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Echallens	10	3	3	4	-6	12
12	Meyrin	10	3	2	5	3	11
13	Stade Payerne	10	3	1	6	-7	10
14	La Chaux-de-Fonds	10	3	1	6	-17	10
15	Coffrane	10	1	4	5	-4	7
16	Vevey Sports	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Sion II win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.