Cheonan City vs Daegu FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.98 expected goals for Cheonan City and 1.35 for Daegu FC, a combined total of 2.32. That distribution gives Daegu FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 41% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Daegu FC win

45.4% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Cheonan City home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Daegu FC away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Daegu FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 27% / 28% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.98 goals for Cheonan City and 1.35 for Daegu FC, a combined 2.32 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Cheonan City win27%

Draw28%

Daegu FC win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals41%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

0–113.2%
1–112.9%
0–09.8%
1–09.5%
0–28.9%

Recent form

Cheonan City

2026-09-05T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hwaseong · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-28T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Jeonnam Dragons · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-22T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Suwon Bluewings · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-16T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimpo Citizen · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Seongnam FC · 2-3 (L)

Daegu FC

2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Seoul E-Land FC · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-12T07:30:00.000Z · H vs Yongin City · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Paju Citizen · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-28T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Ansan Greeners · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-22T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Busan I Park · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	28	19	5	4	25	62
2	Suwon City FC	28	15	9	4	22	54
3	Seoul E-Land FC	28	16	6	6	20	54
4	Daegu FC	28	15	7	6	17	52
5	Busan I Park	29	14	6	9	10	48
6	Hwaseong	29	12	9	8	12	45
7	Asan Mugunghwa	28	10	9	9	4	39
8	Gimpo Citizen	28	9	11	8	2	38
9	Gyeongnam FC	28	8	11	9	-2	35
10	Cheongju	29	6	14	9	-12	32
11	Seongnam FC	28	7	10	11	-7	31
12	Paju Citizen	28	8	7	13	-7	31
13	Yongin City	28	6	12	10	-7	30
14	Cheonan City	28	6	11	11	-4	29
15	Ansan Greeners	29	7	4	18	-23	25
16	Jeonnam Dragons	28	5	9	14	-17	24
17	Gimhae City	28	3	8	17	-33	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Daegu FC win, at 45.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.