South-Korea · FA Cup · Round of 3210:30
CheongjuLWWWL

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Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Cheongju Stadion · Analysis updated 14:20 UTC

Cheongju vs FC Anyang Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Cheongju and 1.22 for FC Anyang, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Cheongju the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Cheongju home form

    5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Anyang away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Cheongju to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 26% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.44 goals for Cheongju and 1.22 for FC Anyang, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Cheongju win42%
Draw26%
FC Anyang win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 1–27.5%

Recent form

Cheongju

  • 2026-09-20T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Ansan Greeners · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Asan Mugunghwa · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-04T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Seoul E-Land FC · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Hwaseong · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-23T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyeongnam FC · 1-1 (D)

FC Anyang

  • 2026-10-24T05:00:00.000Z · H vs Jeonbuk Motors · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-18T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Pohang Steelers · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-10-10T07:30:00.000Z · A vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Ulsan Hyundai FC · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Gwangju FC · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.