Cheshunt vs Whitehawk Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Cheshunt and 1.33 for Whitehawk, a combined total of 3.48. That distribution gives Cheshunt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Cheshunt win

56.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Cheshunt home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Whitehawk away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cheshunt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 21% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Cheshunt and 1.33 for Whitehawk, a combined 3.48 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Cheshunt win56%

Draw21%

Whitehawk win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%

Over 2.5 goals67%

Over 3.5 goals46%

Both teams to score65%

Correct score

2–19.5%
1–18.8%
2–07.2%
3–16.8%
1–06.7%

Recent form

Cheshunt

2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cray Wanderers · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Lewes · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-15T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Welling United · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Eastbourne Borough · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-04T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Aveley · 2-4 (L)

Whitehawk

2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs St Albans City · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cheshunt · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Whyteleafe · 0-5 (L)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Ramsgate · 1-4 (L)
2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lewes · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Non League Premier - Isthmian table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Enfield Town	12	9	1	2	17	28
2	Welling United	13	9	0	4	11	27
3	Lewes	13	8	2	3	6	26
4	Chatham Town	13	8	0	5	13	24
5	Dartford	13	8	0	5	2	24
6	Ramsgate	13	7	1	5	12	22
7	Eastbourne Borough	11	7	1	3	10	22
8	Carshalton Athletic	15	7	1	7	-5	22
9	Burgess Hill Town	12	5	5	2	6	20
10	Wingate & Finchley	12	6	2	4	1	20
11	Dulwich Hamlet	13	5	3	5	0	18
12	St Albans City	9	5	2	2	5	17
13	Leatherhead	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	-3	15
15	Cheshunt	13	3	6	4	-6	15
16	Aveley	13	4	2	7	-1	14
17	Maldon & Tiptree	15	4	2	9	-17	14
18	Cray Wanderers	9	3	3	3	5	12
19	Brentwood Town	11	4	0	7	-1	12
20	Three Bridges	13	2	3	8	-13	9
21	Stanway Rovers	13	2	1	10	-20	7
22	Whitehawk	13	1	3	9	-20	6

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Cheshunt win, at 56.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.

A 56% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.