Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · Group 10 - 710:30
ChiclanaLDWLD

10:30 UTC

Sunday, 18 October 2026

Betis CWLWWD

· Analysis updated 14:37 UTC

Chiclana vs Betis C Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.29 expected goals for Chiclana and 1.61 for Betis C, a combined total of 2.90. That distribution gives Betis C the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 55% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

69.3% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.61

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Chiclana home form

    8 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Betis C to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 31% / 24% / 45% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.29 goals for Chiclana and 1.61 for Betis C, a combined 2.90 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 55% and both teams to score at 58%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Chiclana win31%
Draw24%
Betis C win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

69%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score58%

Correct score

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–27.1%

Recent form

Chiclana

  • 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Portuense · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ceuta II · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Córdoba II · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Linense · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-10T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Recreativo Huelva · 1-2 (L)

Betis C

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Utrera6501315
    2Dos Hermanas6411813
    3Portuense6411713
    4Betis C6411613
    5Tomares6321211
    6Pozoblanco6312410
    7Egabrense622218
    8San Roque Lepe6222-18
    9Xerez Deportivo6222-18
    10Chiclana6222-18
    11Recreativo Huelva6213-37
    12Ceuta II6213-47
    13Linense6204-26
    14Conil6204-66
    15Cádiz II6123-15
    16Bollullos6123-25
    17Sevilla III6123-35
    18Córdoba II6024-72

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 69.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

    A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.