Chlodwig Zulpich vs Bornheim Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.74 expected goals for Chlodwig Zulpich and 2.60 for Bornheim, a combined total of 5.34. That distribution gives Chlodwig Zulpich the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

61.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.74 – 2.60

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Bornheim away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chlodwig Zulpich to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 18% / 39% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.74 goals for Chlodwig Zulpich and 2.60 for Bornheim, a combined 5.34 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 90% and both teams to score at 86%, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

Match result (1X2)

Chlodwig Zulpich win43%

Draw18%

Bornheim win39%

Double chance 1X

61%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

57%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%

Over 2.5 goals90%

Over 3.5 goals78%

Both teams to score86%

Correct score

2–26.1%
3–25.6%
2–35.3%
3–34.8%
2–14.7%

Recent form

Chlodwig Zulpich

2026-09-27T13:15:00.000Z · A vs Hürth · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-20T13:30:00.000Z · H vs VfL Vichttal · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Lindenthal-Hohenlind · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-06T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Siegburger SV · 5-2 (W)
2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Frechen · 0-4 (L)

Bornheim

2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Porz · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Düren Merzenich · 1-3 (L)
2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hennef 05 · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-30T13:30:00.000Z · H vs TuS BW Königsdorf · 4-1 (W)
2026-06-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hennef 05 · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wegberg-Beeck	9	7	1	1	12	22
2	SSV Merten	9	6	1	2	18	19
3	Eintracht Hohkeppel	9	5	2	2	8	17
4	Frechen	9	5	2	2	4	17
5	Düren Merzenich	9	5	1	3	2	16
6	Lindenthal-Hohenlind	9	4	3	2	1	15
7	Fortuna Köln II	8	4	1	3	4	13
8	VfL Vichttal	9	3	3	3	7	12
9	Bornheim	9	4	0	5	0	12
10	Siegburger SV	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Hürth	9	2	4	3	-4	10
12	Chlodwig Zulpich	9	3	1	5	-5	10
13	Hennef 05	9	3	1	5	-6	10
14	TuS BW Königsdorf	8	2	0	6	-23	6
15	Porz	9	1	2	6	-7	5
16	Neunkirchen-Seelscheid	9	1	2	6	-10	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 86% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.