Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Letohrad Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.68 expected goals for Chlumec nad Cidlinou and 1.25 for Letohrad, a combined total of 3.93. That distribution gives Chlumec nad Cidlinou the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 75% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Chlumec nad Cidlinou win

67.6% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.68 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Chlumec nad Cidlinou home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Letohrad away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Chlumec nad Cidlinou to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 17% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.68 goals for Chlumec nad Cidlinou and 1.25 for Letohrad, a combined 3.93 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Chlumec nad Cidlinou win68%

Draw17%

Letohrad win16%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

32%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals75%

Over 3.5 goals55%

Both teams to score66%

Correct score

2–18.8%
3–17.9%
2–07.1%
1–16.6%
3–06.3%

Recent form

Chlumec nad Cidlinou

2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Vykan · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-18T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Svitavy · 4-1 (W)
2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Dvůr Králové · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-04T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Hlinsko · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Slavia Hradec Králové · 2-0 (W)

Letohrad

2026-10-17T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Chrudim II · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Turnov · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartak Police n/Metují · 0-4 (L)
2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Kosmonosy · 2-3 (L)
2026-09-20T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Chlumec nad Cidlinou · 1-4 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vysoké Mýto	12	9	3	0	18	30
2	Kosmonosy	12	9	1	2	20	28
3	Přepeře	12	9	0	3	20	27
4	Trutnov	12	8	1	3	10	25
5	Turnov	12	7	2	3	12	23
6	Ústí nad Orlicí	12	6	3	3	10	21
7	Chlumec nad Cidlinou	12	6	3	3	6	21
8	Spartak Police n/Metují	12	6	1	5	5	19
9	Kolín	12	4	3	5	1	15
10	Slavia Hradec Králové	12	4	2	6	-4	14
11	Dvůr Králové	12	4	2	6	-9	14
12	Hlinsko	12	4	1	7	-6	13
13	Vykan	12	3	2	7	-4	11
14	Svitavy	12	1	2	9	-20	5
15	Letohrad	12	1	2	9	-24	5
16	Chrudim II	12	0	2	10	-35	2

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Chlumec nad Cidlinou win, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.