· Analysis updated 03:49 UTC
Chotebor vs Velká Bíteš Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.77 expected goals for Chotebor and 1.95 for Velká Bíteš, a combined total of 3.71. That distribution gives Velká Bíteš the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Velká Bíteš or Draw
64.3% probability
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.95
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.4%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.3%
Why the model likes this
Chotebor home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Velká Bíteš away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Velká Bíteš to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 36% / 22% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.77 goals for Chotebor and 1.95 for Velká Bíteš, a combined 3.71 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
Chotebor
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Vsetín · 1-6 (L)
- 2026-08-08T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Kuřim · 1-8 (L)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Velké Meziříčí · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-06-13T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Brno · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-06-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Pelhřimov · 1-2 (L)
Velká Bíteš
- 2026-08-15T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FS Třebíč · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Tatran Bohunice · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-25T08:30:00.000Z · A vs Blansko · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-06-13T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Humpolec · 2-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
4. liga - Divizie D table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatran Bohunice | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Znojmo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Kuřim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 |
| 4 | Sokol Tasovice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Pelhřimov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FS Třebíč | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Velká Bíteš | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Humpolec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Velké Meziříčí | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Bedrichov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ždírec nad Doubravou | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Bystrc Kníničky | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Brno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Havlíčkův Brod | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Chotebor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.