Cigand SE vs Debrecen II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Cigand SE and 1.10 for Debrecen II, a combined total of 3.25. That distribution gives Cigand SE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Cigand SE win

61.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Cigand SE home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Debrecen II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cigand SE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 20% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.15 goals for Cigand SE and 1.10 for Debrecen II, a combined 3.25 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Cigand SE win61%

Draw20%

Debrecen II win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

39%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals63%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

2–19.9%
1–19.2%
2–09.0%
1–08.3%
3–17.1%

Recent form

Cigand SE

2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisvárda II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Debrecen II · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza II · 5-1 (W)
2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tarpa · 3-1 (W)

Debrecen II

2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Tarpa · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszafuredi VSE · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Cigand SE · 2-4 (L)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tiszaújváros · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Ózd Sajóvölgye · 2-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

NB III - Northeast table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ózd Sajóvölgye	11	9	0	2	26	27
2	Cigand SE	11	8	2	1	16	26
3	DEAC	11	7	2	2	15	23
4	Kisvárda II	11	5	5	1	7	20
5	Debrecen II	11	6	1	4	8	19
6	Gödöllő	11	6	1	4	5	19
7	Eger	11	5	2	4	-9	17
8	Diósgyőr II	11	4	4	3	2	16
9	Mátészalka	11	4	4	3	2	16
10	Tiszaújváros	11	5	1	5	1	16
11	Füzesabony	11	5	1	5	-1	16
12	Hajdúnánás	11	3	1	7	-12	10
13	Salgótarjáni BTC	11	3	0	8	-11	9
14	Tiszafuredi VSE	11	3	0	8	-12	9
15	Tarpa	11	2	0	9	-17	6
16	Nyiregyhaza II	11	1	0	10	-20	3

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Cigand SE win, at 61.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.

A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.