· Analysis updated 15:34 UTC
Cigand SE vs Eger Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.11 expected goals for Cigand SE and 0.74 for Eger, a combined total of 3.86. That distribution gives Cigand SE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 84%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 3–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 84% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Cigand SE win
83.5% probability
Expected goals
3.11 – 0.74
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cigand SE home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eger away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cigand SE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 84%, against 84% / 11% / 6% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.11 goals for Cigand SE and 0.74 for Eger, a combined 3.86 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
94%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
17%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–010.6%
- 2–010.2%
- 4–08.3%
- 3–17.9%
- 2–17.6%
Recent form
Cigand SE
- 2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Kisvárda II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Debrecen II · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Dabas · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-06T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Nyiregyhaza II · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-08-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tarpa · 3-1 (W)
Eger
- 2026-10-17T11:00:00.000Z · H vs DEAC · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Füzesabony · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Diósgyőr II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hajdúnánás · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Mátészalka · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Northeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 30 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | DEAC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 26 |
| 4 | Debrecen II | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Kisvárda II | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Diósgyőr II | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 |
| 7 | Gödöllő | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Mátészalka | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Eger | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 17 |
| 10 | Tiszaújváros | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 | Füzesabony | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 13 | Hajdúnánás | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -18 | 10 |
| 14 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 9 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Cigand SE win, at 83.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.
A 84% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.