Romania · Cupa României · Quarter-finals14:30
CIL BlajLDDLD

2 – 1

Wednesday, 5 August 2026

· Analysis updated 18:05 UTC

CIL Blaj vs ACS Mediaş 2022 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.76 expected goals for CIL Blaj and 1.45 for ACS Mediaş 2022, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives CIL Blaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

CIL Blaj win

45.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.45

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • CIL Blaj home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • ACS Mediaş 2022 away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates CIL Blaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 23% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.76 goals for CIL Blaj and 1.45 for ACS Mediaş 2022, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

CIL Blaj win45%
Draw23%
ACS Mediaş 2022 win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 2–26.6%

Recent form

CIL Blaj

  • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetate Deva · 5-5 (D)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poli Timisoara 2 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Arad · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nera Bogodinţi · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 2-1 (W)

ACS Mediaş 2022

  • 2026-09-25T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Tricolorul Breaza · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Carpati Covasna · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baicoi · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Corona Braşov · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is CIL Blaj win, at 45.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 45% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.