· Analysis updated 03:51 UTC
CIL Blaj vs Universitatea Alba Iulia Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.31 expected goals for CIL Blaj and 0.93 for Universitatea Alba Iulia, a combined total of 3.23. That distribution gives CIL Blaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 63% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
CIL Blaj win
68.4% probability
Expected goals
2.31 – 0.93
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
CIL Blaj home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Universitatea Alba Iulia away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates CIL Blaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 68% / 18% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.31 goals for CIL Blaj and 0.93 for Universitatea Alba Iulia, a combined 3.23 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
87%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
32%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 1–18.4%
- 3–08.1%
Recent form
CIL Blaj
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cetate Deva · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-09-22T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Poli Timisoara 2 · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Arad · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Nera Bogodinţi · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Alba Iulia · 2-1 (W)
Universitatea Alba Iulia
- 2026-07-29T14:30:00.000Z · H vs CIL Blaj · 3-4 (L)
- 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Progresul Pecica · 6-2 (W)
- 2026-05-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-05-01T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Unirea Sântana · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Unirea DMO · 5-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga III - Serie 7 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 23 |
| 2 | Timişul Şag | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cetate Deva | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | CIL Blaj | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Viitorul Arad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Unirea Sântana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Progresul Pecica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Poli Timisoara 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 11 | Universitatea Alba Iulia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 12 | Nera Bogodinţi | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 | 2 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is CIL Blaj win, at 68.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.