Estadio La Visera de Cemento · Analysis updated 05:25 UTC
Cipolletti vs Atenas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.03 expected goals for Cipolletti and 0.70 for Atenas, a combined total of 1.72. That distribution gives Cipolletti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 33%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 25% for over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
75.5% probability
Expected goals
1.03 – 0.70
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Cipolletti home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Atenas away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Cipolletti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 33% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.03 goals for Cipolletti and 0.70 for Atenas, a combined 1.72 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
67%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.3%
- 0–017.8%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–112.5%
- 2–09.4%
Recent form
Cipolletti
- 2026-09-27T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Sol de América · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Juventud Antoniana · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Alvarado · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-23T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Atenas · 2-2 (D)
Atenas
- 2026-09-27T22:30:00.000Z · H vs San Martin Formosa · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-20T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Huracan Las Heras · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Juventud Antoniana · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Alvarado · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-30T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-23T18:30:00.000Z · Cipolletti 2-2 Atenas (Torneo Federal A)
- 2026-05-24T18:30:00.000Z · Cipolletti 1-0 Atenas (Torneo Federal A)
- 2026-03-21T00:00:00.000Z · Cipolletti 1-3 Atenas (Torneo Federal A)
- 2025-09-07T19:30:00.000Z · Cipolletti 0-0 Atenas (Torneo Federal A)
Torneo Federal A table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 75.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 32% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.
A 76% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.