· Analysis updated 21:07 UTC
City Lads W vs University of Fort Hare W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for City Lads W and 1.78 for University of Fort Hare W, a combined total of 2.47. That distribution gives University of Fort Hare W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
University of Fort Hare W win
63.2% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
City Lads W home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
University of Fort Hare W away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates University of Fort Hare W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 14% / 23% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for City Lads W and 1.78 for University of Fort Hare W, a combined 2.47 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
37%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
86%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–114.9%
- 0–213.3%
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–08.4%
Recent form
City Lads W
- 2026-10-17T09:30:00.000Z · H vs University of Johannesburg W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tshwane University W · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Fort Hare W · 0-2 (L)
University of Fort Hare W
- 2026-09-19T09:00:00.000Z · A vs University of Johannesburg W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T09:00:00.000Z · A vs First Touch W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T07:00:00.000Z · H vs City Lads W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tshwane University W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JVW FC W · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 |
| 2 | JVW FC W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | TS Galaxy W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | University of Johannesburg W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tshwane University W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Pretoria U. W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Ramatlaohle W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | UWC W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Copperbelt Ladies W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | University of Fort Hare W | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Richmond United W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ezemvelo W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | First Touch W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Diepkloof W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Stellenbosch W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
| 16 | City Lads W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -14 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is University of Fort Hare W win, at 63.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.