Brazil · Paranaense U20 · Matchweek 718:30

2 – 1

Saturday, 11 April 2026

· Analysis updated 07:17 UTC

City London U20 vs Hope Internacional U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.07 expected goals for City London U20 and 1.22 for Hope Internacional U20, a combined total of 3.29. That distribution gives City London U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

City London U20 win

57.0% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.07 – 1.22

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • City London U20 home form

    11 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates City London U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 21% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.07 goals for City London U20 and 1.22 for Hope Internacional U20, a combined 3.29 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Match result (1X2)

City London U20 win57%
Draw21%
Hope Internacional U20 win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

43%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.4%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 3–16.7%

Recent form

City London U20

  • 2026-06-06T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Patriotas U20 · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-05-30T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Patriotas U20 · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-05-23T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Operário PR U20 · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-15T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Operário PR U20 · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Operário PR U20 · 1-0 (W)

Hope Internacional U20

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Paranaense U20 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Coritiba U20118121625
    2Athletico PR U20117221123
    3Cascavel U2011551820
    4City London U2011533218
    5Operário PR U2011515016
    6Galo Maringá U2011425214
    7Araucaria U2011425-214
    8Patriotas U2011425-414
    9Parana Clube U2011344-213
    10CE União U2011236-129
    11Hope Internacional U2011236-69
    12Cianorte U2011227-138

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is City London U20 win, at 57.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

    A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.