Aldo e Dino Ballarin · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
Clodiense vs Sandona Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Clodiense and 1.01 for Sandona, a combined total of 2.05. That distribution gives Clodiense the largest share of the 1X2 market at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 36% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.2% probability
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Clodiense home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Clodiense to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 36%, against 36% / 30% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.05 goals for Clodiense and 1.01 for Sandona, a combined 2.05 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 41%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.5%
- 1–013.4%
- 0–112.9%
- 0–012.8%
- 2–17.1%
Recent form
Clodiense
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Altavilla · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Campodarsego · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandona · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Luparense · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Brian Lignano · 5-3 (W)
Sandona
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie D - Girone C table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luparense | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Cjarlins Muzane | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Clodiense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Sandona | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnago Salus | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Bassano Virtus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | LME | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Mestre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Este | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Conegliano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Altavilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Triestina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Virtus Bolzano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -15 | 9 |
| 15 | Calvi Noale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Obermais | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Schio | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Brian Lignano | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 34%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.