Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi · Analysis updated 06:20 UTC
Club Africain vs JS Kairouanaise Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Club Africain and 0.53 for JS Kairouanaise, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Club Africain the largest share of the 1X2 market at 67%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 67% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Club Africain win
66.8% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.53
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Club Africain home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
JS Kairouanaise away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
89%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
33%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.2%
- 2–015.7%
- 0–010.5%
- 1–19.5%
- 3–09.0%
Recent form
Club Africain
- 2026-10-25T17:00:00.000Z · H vs TP Mazembe · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · A vs TP Mazembe · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs US Ben Guerdane · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-10-03T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Al Ahli Benghazi · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ES Zarzis · 1-0 (W)
JS Kairouanaise
- 2026-10-19T13:30:00.000Z · A vs AS Kasserine · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ksour Essef · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kalaâ Sport · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Jendouba Sport · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-05-14T15:00:00.000Z · A vs ES Metlaoui · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-26T14:30:00.000Z · Club Africain 2-0 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2025-10-25T13:30:00.000Z · Club Africain 3-1 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2021-02-27T15:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 4-2 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2020-12-16T13:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 2-1 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2020-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 1-1 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2020-02-29T13:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 3-0 JS Kairouanaise (Cup)
- 2019-10-27T12:30:00.000Z · Club Africain 2-0 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2019-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 1-0 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2018-12-11T13:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 2-0 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
- 2018-01-31T13:00:00.000Z · Club Africain 3-0 JS Kairouanaise (Ligue 1)
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | ES Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Monastir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | CA Bizertin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | AS Marsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Stade Tunisien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | ES Sahel | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | ES Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | CS Hammam-Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Olympique Béja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 | ES Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Club Africain win, at 66.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.