Belgium · Challenger Pro League · Matchweek 414:00

0 – 1

Saturday, 5 September 2026

AS EupenWWWWL

· Referee A. de Beuckelaer · Analysis updated 14:33 UTC

Club Brugge II vs AS Eupen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Club Brugge II and 2.00 for AS Eupen, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Club Brugge II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

60.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Club Brugge II home form

    6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • AS Eupen away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Club Brugge II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Club Brugge II and 2.00 for AS Eupen, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Club Brugge II win40%
Draw21%
AS Eupen win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals57%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 1–17.3%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 1–34.9%

Recent form

Club Brugge II

  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liège · 4-4 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 1-1 (D)

AS Eupen

  • 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RSC Anderlecht II · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-10-01T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Alemannia Aachen · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Merelbeke · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T17:15:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Challenger Pro League table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Beerschot VA76011218
2Dender7601918
3AS Eupen6501815
4Francs Borains6402212
5Sporting Hasselt7403-212
6Excelsior Virton6312510
7Lokeren-Temse6312210
8K. Lierse S.K.6222-18
9Club Brugge II6222-28
10KAA Gent II6222-28
11KRC Genk II7214-37
12Patro Eisden7205-46
13Liège7124-75
14Seraing United7025-72
15RSC Anderlecht II7016-101

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 60.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.

A 60% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.