Club Brugge II vs KAA Gent II Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.90 expected goals for Club Brugge II and 1.38 for KAA Gent II, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Club Brugge II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Club Brugge II win

49.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.90 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Club Brugge II home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
KAA Gent II away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Club Brugge II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 22% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.90 goals for Club Brugge II and 1.38 for KAA Gent II, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Club Brugge II win50%

Draw22%

KAA Gent II win28%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals84%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–19.9%
2–19.4%
1–07.2%
2–06.8%
1–26.8%

Recent form

Club Brugge II

2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liège · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 1-1 (D)

KAA Gent II

2026-10-11T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 3-2 (W)
2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge II · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dender · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · H vs RSC Anderlecht II · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Hasselt · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Challenger Pro League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Beerschot VA	7	6	0	1	12	18
2	Dender	7	6	0	1	9	18
3	AS Eupen	6	5	0	1	8	15
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	2	12
5	Sporting Hasselt	7	4	0	3	-2	12
6	Excelsior Virton	6	3	1	2	5	10
7	Lokeren-Temse	6	3	1	2	2	10
8	K. Lierse S.K.	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Club Brugge II	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	KAA Gent II	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	KRC Genk II	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Patro Eisden	7	2	0	5	-4	6
13	Liège	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Seraing United	7	0	2	5	-7	2
15	RSC Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	-10	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Club Brugge II win, at 49.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.