· Analysis updated 08:00 UTC
Club Brugge II vs OH Leuven Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Club Brugge II and 2.00 for OH Leuven, a combined total of 3.58. That distribution gives OH Leuven the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
OH Leuven win
47.8% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Club Brugge II home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
OH Leuven away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates OH Leuven to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 31% / 22% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Club Brugge II and 2.00 for OH Leuven, a combined 3.58 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
52%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–18.8%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–16.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–35.9%
Recent form
Club Brugge II
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liège · 4-4 (D)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs AS Eupen · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Patro Eisden · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Kortrijk · 1-1 (D)
OH Leuven
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs RAAL La Louvière · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Cercle Brugge · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-06T17:15:00.000Z · A vs SK Beveren · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-03T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is OH Leuven win, at 47.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.