· Analysis updated 11:48 UTC
Club Brugge W vs Genk W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for Club Brugge W and 0.84 for Genk W, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Club Brugge W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Club Brugge W win
60.7% probability
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.84
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Club Brugge W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Genk W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
83%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.7%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–07.1%
Recent form
Club Brugge W
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Anderlecht W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-1 (W)
Genk W
- 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Standard Liege W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Gent W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-12T11:30:00.000Z · H vs OH Leuven W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-4 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 1-0 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2026-02-13T19:00:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 2-1 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2026-01-16T19:00:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 4-0 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 2-2 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2025-03-08T13:00:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 4-0 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2024-11-23T15:15:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 2-2 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2024-10-11T18:30:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 1-2 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2024-05-11T14:15:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 1-0 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2024-04-20T11:30:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 1-1 Genk W (Super League Women)
- 2024-03-02T12:30:00.000Z · Club Brugge W 2-2 Genk W (Super League Women)
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Club Brugge W win, at 60.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.