· Analysis updated 11:05 UTC
Club Brugge W vs Standard Liege W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.17 expected goals for Club Brugge W and 1.01 for Standard Liege W, a combined total of 4.17. That distribution gives Club Brugge W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 79%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 79% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Club Brugge W win
79.4% probability
Expected goals
3.17 – 1.01
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Club Brugge W home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Club Brugge W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 79%, against 79% / 12% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.17 goals for Club Brugge W and 1.01 for Standard Liege W, a combined 4.17 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 60%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
92%
Double chance 12
88%
Double chance X2
21%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–18.2%
- 3–08.2%
- 2–17.8%
- 2–07.7%
- 4–16.5%
Recent form
Club Brugge W
- 2026-10-03T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Anderlecht W · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Genk W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Zulte-Waregem W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-1 (W)
Standard Liege W
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super League Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anderlecht W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Club Brugge W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | OH Leuven W | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 12 |
| 4 | Genk W | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | RAAL La Louviere W | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Standard Liege W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 9 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem W | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -8 | 3 |
| 8 | Gent W | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Club Brugge W win, at 79.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 79% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.