· Analysis updated 13:42 UTC
Clube 1992 vs Real Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Clube 1992 and 2.10 for Real, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Real the largest share of the 1X2 market at 69%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 69% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Real win
68.7% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 2.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Real away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Real to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 69%, against 12% / 19% / 69% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.75 goals for Clube 1992 and 2.10 for Real, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 46%, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
31%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
88%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–212.8%
- 0–112.1%
- 1–29.6%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–38.9%
Recent form
Clube 1992
Real
- 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Vitoria Setubal · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Panambi · 3-3 (D)
- 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z · A vs EC Novo Horizonte · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Santa Clara B · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Farroupilha · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Gaúcho - 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panambi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Real | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 |
| 3 | São Paulo RS | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Futebol Com Vida | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cruz A. | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | FBC Riograndense RS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Farroupilha | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clube 1992 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | EC Novo Horizonte | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 3 |
| 10 | SC Rio Grande | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Real win, at 68.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 69% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.