New Douglas Park · Analysis updated 12:07 UTC
Clyde vs Forfar Athletic Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Clyde and 1.18 for Forfar Athletic, a combined total of 2.68. That distribution gives Clyde the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
70.3% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Clyde home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Forfar Athletic away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–07.8%
Recent form
Clyde
- 2026-10-17T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Annan Athletic · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-10-13T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Clachnacuddin · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dumbarton · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Elgin City · 2-6 (L)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Cowdenbeath · 3-1 (W)
Forfar Athletic
- 2026-09-29T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Formartine United · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dundee United II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Peterhead · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Annan Athletic · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Spartans · 1-5 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T14:00:00.000Z · Clyde 3-0 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2026-03-07T15:00:00.000Z · Clyde 1-1 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2026-01-03T15:00:00.000Z · Clyde 1-1 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Clyde 0-0 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · Clyde 0-0 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-04-12T14:00:00.000Z · Clyde 1-1 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2025-03-01T15:00:00.000Z · Clyde 1-0 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2024-12-21T15:00:00.000Z · Clyde 2-0 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2024-08-03T14:00:00.000Z · Clyde 0-0 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
- 2024-03-09T15:00:00.000Z · Clyde 1-2 Forfar Athletic (League Two)
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Clyde | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | Spartans | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 7 | Stirling Albion | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Forfar Athletic | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -10 | 9 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.