Coffrane vs Martigny Sports Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Coffrane and 1.18 for Martigny Sports, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Coffrane the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Coffrane win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Coffrane home form
2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Martigny Sports away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Coffrane to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Coffrane and 1.18 for Martigny Sports, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Coffrane win57%

Draw22%

Martigny Sports win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score60%

Correct score

1–19.8%
2–19.8%
1–08.4%
2–08.4%
3–16.5%

Recent form

Coffrane

2026-10-09T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Portalban / Gletterens · 2-3 (L)
2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lancy · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina Bern · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Azzurri Bienne · 1-2 (L)

Martigny Sports

2026-05-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Sion II · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-23T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Payerne · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Monthey · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lancy · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Naters · 5-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-04-12T12:00:00.000Z · Coffrane 3-5 Martigny Sports (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2025-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · Coffrane 1-2 Martigny Sports (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2023-05-06T13:00:00.000Z · Coffrane 0-1 Martigny Sports (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)
2022-10-29T15:30:00.000Z · Coffrane 3-1 Martigny Sports (1. Liga Classic - Group 1)

1. Liga Classic - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azzurri Bienne	11	9	0	2	16	27
2	Prishtina Bern	11	8	2	1	22	26
3	Servette II	11	6	4	1	3	22
4	Lausanne Sport II	11	4	5	2	7	17
5	Portalban / Gletterens	11	5	2	4	6	17
6	Naters	11	5	2	4	-6	17
7	Sion II	11	4	4	3	1	16
8	Monthey	11	3	5	3	1	14
9	Chênois	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Lancy	11	4	1	6	-2	13
11	La Chaux-de-Fonds	11	4	1	6	-15	13
12	Echallens	11	3	3	5	-10	12
13	Meyrin	11	3	2	6	2	11
14	Stade Payerne	11	3	2	6	-7	11
15	Coffrane	11	2	4	5	0	10
16	Vevey Sports	11	1	1	9	-17	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Coffrane win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.