· Analysis updated 09:12 UTC
Coleraine FC vs Portstewart Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Coleraine FC and 1.07 for Portstewart, a combined total of 3.16. That distribution gives Coleraine FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 61%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 61% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Coleraine FC win
60.9% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 1.07
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Coleraine FC home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Portstewart away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Coleraine FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 61%, against 61% / 21% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.07 for Portstewart, a combined 3.16 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
39%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 2–09.3%
- 1–08.9%
- 3–16.9%
Recent form
Coleraine FC
- 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Crusaders FC · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Larne · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Cliftonville FC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bangor · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-25T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Linfield · 1-3 (L)
Portstewart
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ballymena United · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-07-11T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Coleraine FC · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ballymacash Rangers · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-28T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Knockbreda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:06.000Z · H vs Oxford Sunnyside · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Coleraine FC win, at 60.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.