Pack Meadow · Analysis updated 12:48 UTC
Coleshill Town vs Nuneaton Town Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Coleshill Town and 1.32 for Nuneaton Town, a combined total of 3.07. That distribution gives Coleshill Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Coleshill Town win
47.7% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.32
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Coleshill Town home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Nuneaton Town away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Coleshill Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 23% / 29% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.75 goals for Coleshill Town and 1.32 for Nuneaton Town, a combined 3.07 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
71%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.1%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–27.1%
Recent form
Coleshill Town
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hanley Town · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-28T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Shifnal Town FC · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Alvechurch · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Corby Town · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-04-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Club Warwick · 1-4 (L)
Nuneaton Town
- 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Matlock Town · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bromsgrove Sporting · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Lincoln United · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-08-02T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Coleshill Town · 1-2 (L)
- 2025-07-22T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Leamington · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Coleshill Town win, at 47.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.