· Analysis updated 23:41 UTC
College 1975 vs Glacis United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.02 expected goals for College 1975 and 1.14 for Glacis United, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Glacis United the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
67.6% probability
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.14
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
College 1975 home form
1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Glacis United away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Glacis United to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 32% / 29% / 38% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.02 goals for College 1975 and 1.14 for Glacis United, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
62%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
68%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.4%
- 0–113.1%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–011.5%
- 1–27.6%
Recent form
College 1975
- 2026-09-18T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Magpies · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lynx · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lions Gibraltar · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-21T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Hound Dogs · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-03-04T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Mons Calpe · 0-2 (L)
Glacis United
- 2026-09-20T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Lions Gibraltar · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Lynx · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Mons Calpe · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-08-22T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Europa · 2-2 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Rock Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Lions Gibraltar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Mons Calpe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
| 4 | Glacis United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Lynx | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Hound Dogs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Europa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | St Joseph S Fc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | College 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Manchester 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 67.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.