France · National 2 - Group A · Group A - 616:00
ColmarLLDDW

0 – 1

Saturday, 3 October 2026

· Analysis updated 16:06 UTC

Colmar vs Racing Colombes 92 Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.08 expected goals for Colmar and 1.78 for Racing Colombes 92, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Racing Colombes 92 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 54%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 54% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Racing Colombes 92 win

53.8% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.08 – 1.78

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Colmar home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Racing Colombes 92 away threat

    Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Racing Colombes 92 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 54%, against 23% / 23% / 54% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.08 goals for Colmar and 1.78 for Racing Colombes 92, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Colmar win23%
Draw23%
Racing Colombes 92 win54%

Double chance 1X

46%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

77%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.0%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–29.1%
  • 1–06.2%

Recent form

Colmar

  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Chambly Thelle FC · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Le Pays du Valois · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Biesheim · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Creteil · 0-1 (L)

Racing Colombes 92

  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Colmar · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St Maur Lusitanos · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bastia-Borgo · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haguenau · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National 2 - Group A table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Furiani-Agliani64201014
2St Maur Lusitanos6420514
3Racing Colombes 926411513
4Feignies-Aulnoye6330312
5Chambly Thelle FC6402512
6Creteil6321311
7Dieppe623119
8Biesheim622248
9Haguenau6204-36
10Montlouis6132-36
11Epinal6123-15
12Le Pays du Valois6123-25
13Bastia-Borgo6123-45
14Colmar6123-55
15St-Pryvé St-Hilaire6033-33
16Chantilly6015-151

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Racing Colombes 92 win, at 53.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 54% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.