· Analysis updated 11:51 UTC
Colombe vs Teungueth Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.30 expected goals for Colombe and 0.68 for Teungueth, a combined total of 1.98. That distribution gives Colombe the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Colombe win
51.4% probability
Expected goals
1.30 – 0.68
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Colombe home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Teungueth away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Colombe to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 29% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.30 goals for Colombe and 0.68 for Teungueth, a combined 1.98 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
80%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
49%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.9%
- 0–013.8%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–011.6%
- 0–19.4%
Recent form
Colombe
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Teungueth · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Teungueth · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-13T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stade Malien Bamako · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-06T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Malien Bamako · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-06-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Fauve Azur Elite · 7-0 (W)
Teungueth
- 2026-10-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Colombe · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Colombe · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Canchungo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Canchungo · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-06-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Guédiawaye · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Colombe win, at 51.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 36% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.