· Analysis updated 10:52 UTC
Colón Res. vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.66 expected goals for Colón Res. and 1.19 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2, a combined total of 1.85. That distribution gives Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 28% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win
48.8% probability
Expected goals
0.66 – 1.19
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Colón Res. home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 20% / 31% / 49% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.66 goals for Colón Res. and 1.19 for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2, a combined 1.85 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 28% and both teams to score at 34%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 19%.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–118.7%
- 0–015.7%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–211.2%
- 1–010.4%
Recent form
Colón Res.
- 2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Newell's Old Boys Res. · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Quilmes 2 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-22T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Defensa y Justicia Res. · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-07-14T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes La Plata Res · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-06-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 · 1-0 (W)
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Reserve League table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 win, at 48.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 28%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.