Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Analysis updated 19:46 UTC
Como 1907 W vs Como W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Como 1907 W and 1.50 for Como W, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Como 1907 W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
Model pick
Como 1907 W win
59.4% probability
Expected goals
2.50 – 1.50
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Como 1907 W home form
3 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Como W away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Como 1907 W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 19% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.50 goals for Como 1907 W and 1.50 for Como W, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
82%
Double chance X2
41%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–18.6%
- 3–17.2%
- 1–16.9%
- 2–26.4%
- 2–05.7%
Recent form
Como 1907 W
- 2026-09-26T16:00:00.000Z · H vs AC Milan W · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Como W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AC Milan W · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Juventus W · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-12-21T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 1-2 (L)
Como W
- 2026-10-25T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Lazio W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiorentina W · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Inter Milano W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Ternana W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Como 1907 W · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-09-06T10:30:00.000Z · Como 1907 W 1-2 Como W (Serie A Cup Women)
Serie A Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Inter Milano W | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Como 1907 W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | AC Milan W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Ternana W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Como W | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Napoli W | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventus W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Lazio W | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
| 11 | Parma W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Sassuolo W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Como 1907 W win, at 59.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 71% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.